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Leverage Room

What can still be stopped

Decisions that have not been made yet, and the institutions that hold them.

A dashboard is not power. A verified decision point is. Every record names the institution, states what its date means, and prints what is still unknown.

Current case · Camp East Montana

Last verified August 20, 2026

The operator changed. The facility stayed open. The money kept moving.

A federal audit documented cost and conditions failures at a 5,000-capacity detention site in El Paso, Texas. ICE terminated the earlier Acquisition Logistics order for the government's convenience on April 17, 2026, GAO reports that a different vendor began operating the site on April 18, a noncompetitive award of $452,855,435.04 went to Amentum Services, Inc., and AP reported ICE's published justification to extend that award through September 30, 2027 at a potential additional cost of up to $776 million. Four GAO recommendations remain open.

Recorded windows
6
Open GAO recommendations
4
Verified decision deadline
None established by the sources indexed here
Open the Camp East Montana leverage chain
01

Coverage of this ledger

What this project has recorded, not what exists in the world.

Cases
5
Case files with a leverage chain
Windows recorded
9
Concrete windows, all statuses. Channels excluded.
Open
4
Authored open, not derived
Hard dated
4
3 carry no verified hard date
Institutional channels
5
Standing official routes. Never counted as windows.
02

Intervention windows

Ordered by status, then date certainty, then soonest verified date. A record without a verified hard date sorts last and never shows urgency.

Filter · 9 of 9 windows

Showing 9 of 9 recorded windows

OpenAudit follow-up · Oversight effect

GAO recommendation 1 — cost-saving mechanisms in future acquisitions

Decision at issue

Whether ICE adopts a pricing mechanism that ties payment to the population actually held, including on the Camp East Montana contract.

Controls it
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Department of Homeland Security
Office of the Director, ICE
Federal
Date · Estimated date
Estimated implementation horizon: by the end of 2026
An agency estimate, not a deadline. GAO reports that DHS stated in May 2026 it was shifting the Camp East Montana contract to tiered pricing and estimated doing so by the end of 2026. December 31, 2026 is this project's normalized sort boundary for that “by end of 2026” estimate, and no calendar file is offered for it.

What could still change

Future awards of this type would stop paying full capacity costs for capacity not in use.

Institutional routes

  • Track recommendation status on the GAO product pageU.S. Government Accountability OfficeGAO publishes the open or closed status of each recommendation it makes.www.gao.gov

Still unknown

  • The end-of-2026 figure is an agency estimate reported by GAO, not a compliance deadline. No source establishes a date by which ICE must act, and December 31, 2026 is only this project's normalized representation of that estimate.
  • Whether the tiered-pricing change has been executed is not established in the sources indexed here.
Observed · Last verified August 20, 2026U.S. Government Accountability OfficeOpen case
OpenAudit follow-up · Oversight effect

GAO recommendation 2 — controls for pre-occupancy inspections

Decision at issue

Whether ICE puts a documented control in place before the next facility of this type is occupied.

Controls it
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Department of Homeland Security
Office of the Director, ICE
Federal
Date · Unknown date
No verified hard date
GAO recommendations do not carry a published compliance deadline. GAO-26-108886 was published June 9, 2026; that is a source publication date, not a deadline.

What could still change

A new site could not be occupied without a completed, documented pre-occupancy inspection.

Institutional routes

  • Track recommendation status on the GAO product pageU.S. Government Accountability OfficeGAO publishes the open or closed status of each recommendation it makes.www.gao.gov
  • Request the inspection policy and any implementing directiveU.S. Immigration and Customs EnforcementInspection directives and their revision history are ordinarily requestable agency records.

Still unknown

  • No implementation date is published for this recommendation.
  • Whether ICE has since issued any implementing control beyond the existing policy it cited is not established in the sources indexed here.
Observed · Last verified August 20, 2026U.S. Government Accountability OfficeOpen case
OpenAudit follow-up · Oversight effect

GAO recommendation 3 — Army assessment and lessons learned

Decision at issue

Whether the Army completes and documents an assessment of its role in this acquisition.

Controls it
Department of the Army, Department of Defense
Office of the Secretary of the Army
Federal
Date · Unknown date
No verified hard date
GAO recommendations do not carry a published compliance deadline. GAO-26-108886 was published June 9, 2026; that is a source publication date, not a deadline.

What could still change

A written record of what the Army would do differently on the next interagency detention support acquisition.

Institutional routes

  • Track recommendation status on the GAO product pageU.S. Government Accountability OfficeGAO publishes the open or closed status of each recommendation it makes.www.gao.gov

Still unknown

  • No implementation date is published for this recommendation.
  • Whether the Army has begun or completed the assessment is not established in the sources indexed here.
Observed · Last verified August 20, 2026U.S. Government Accountability OfficeOpen case
OpenAudit follow-up · Oversight effect

GAO recommendation 4 — DHS assessment and lessons learned

Decision at issue

Whether DHS completes and documents an assessment covering capacity expansions run with other agencies.

Controls it
Department of Homeland Security
Office of the Secretary of Homeland Security
Federal
Date · Unknown date
No verified hard date
GAO recommendations do not carry a published compliance deadline. GAO-26-108886 was published June 9, 2026; that is a source publication date, not a deadline.

What could still change

A departmental record governing how the next multi-agency expansion is planned, inspected, and priced.

Institutional routes

  • Track recommendation status on the GAO product pageU.S. Government Accountability OfficeGAO publishes the open or closed status of each recommendation it makes.www.gao.gov

Still unknown

  • No implementation date is published for this recommendation.
  • Whether the ICE and Office of the Chief Readiness Support Officer assessment has begun or concluded is not established in the sources indexed here.
Observed · Last verified August 20, 2026U.S. Government Accountability OfficeOpen case
UpcomingContract renewal · Contract effect

Period of performance ends December 19, 2026

Decision at issue

Whether ICE renews, replaces, or ends this award at the recorded period end.

Controls it
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
ICE Office of Acquisition Management
Federal
Date · Hard date
December 19, 2026
Period-of-performance end date on the federal award record for PIID 70CDCR26FR0000042. A period end, not a published decision date.

What could still change

The terms, duration, or existence of the next award covering these two California facilities.

Institutional routes

  • Track the award record for modification actionsUSAspending.govModifications are reported to the public award record after they are signed.

Still unknown

  • No source indexed here establishes a date by which ICE must decide.
Observed · Last verified August 19, 2026USAspending.govOpen case
UpcomingOption exercise · Contract effect

Option horizon through February 28, 2027

Decision at issue

Whether each remaining option is exercised, and on what terms.

Controls it
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
ICE Office of Acquisition Management
Federal
Date · Hard date
February 28, 2027
Potential period-of-performance end date on the federal award record. A horizon, not a published decision date.

What could still change

An option not exercised ends the award at the current period end.

Institutional routes

  • Track the award record for option modificationsUSAspending.govOption exercises are reported as modification actions on the public award record.

Still unknown

  • The date on which each option decision must be made is not established here.
Observed · Last verified August 19, 2026USAspending.govOpen case
UpcomingContract renewal · Contract effect

Period ends July 8, 2027

Decision at issue

Whether ICE renews, replaces, or ends this award at the recorded period end.

Controls it
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
ICE Office of Acquisition Management
Federal
Date · Hard date
July 8, 2027
Period-of-performance end date on the federal award record for PIID 70CDCR26FR0000101. A period end, not a published decision date.

What could still change

The terms, duration, or existence of the follow-on award.

Institutional routes

  • Track the award record for modification actionsUSAspending.govModifications are reported to the public award record after they are signed.

Still unknown

  • No source indexed here establishes a date by which ICE must decide.
Observed · Last verified August 19, 2026USAspending.govOpen case
uncertainOption exercise · Contract effect

Reported extension period would end September 30, 2027

Decision at issue

Whether the reported extension is executed, and on what terms, quantity, and price basis.

Controls it
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
ICE Office of Acquisition Management
Federal
Date · Estimated date
Reported period end: September 30, 2027
Reported extension period end, as described in AP's reporting on ICE's justification notice. It is not a verified decision deadline and this project does not present it as one.

What could still change

Competition instead of a sole-source extension, a price structure tied to the population actually held, or a shorter extension period.

Institutional routes

  • Request the published justification notice and its approval recordU.S. Department of Homeland SecurityThe justification for other than full and open competition, and the approvals attached to it, are ordinarily requestable records.

Still unknown

  • Whether the reported extension has been executed is not established by the records indexed here.
  • The $776 million figure is an AP-reported potential extension value; no obligated amount for an extension appears on the award record read here.
Attributed · Last verified August 20, 2026Associated PressUSAspending.govOpen case
stale-needs-reviewContract renewal · Contract effect

Current period of performance ends September 30, 2026

Decision at issue

Whether ICE extends the noncompetitive award, recompetes the requirement, or ends it at the recorded period end.

Controls it
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
ICE Office of Acquisition Management
Federal
Date · Hard date
September 30, 2026
Period-of-performance end date on the federal award record for PIID 70CDCR26C00000016. It is a period end, not a published decision date, and no source establishes when ICE must decide.

What could still change

A competed follow-on, a shorter period, tiered pricing tied to actual population, or no follow-on award at all.

Institutional routes

  • Track the award record for modification actionsUSAspending.govModification actions on PIID 70CDCR26C00000016 appear on the public award record after they are reported.www.usaspending.gov
  • Appropriations and DHS oversight committeesU.S. CongressCommittees with standing jurisdiction can request the acquisition file before a follow-on action is signed.

Still unknown

  • The date by which ICE must decide is not established by any source indexed here.
  • Whether a modification has been signed after the August 20, 2026 review is not established here.
Observed · Last verified August 20, 2026USAspending.govAssociated PressOpen case
02b

Institutional channels · not windows

Standing official routes. Each establishes only that the channel exists. No status, no date, no calendar file.

  • Institutional channel · not a window

    ICE FOIA records channel

    U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement · ICE FOIA Office

    ICE operates a published FOIA request channel. Concretely requestable here: the justification for other than full and open competition behind the reported extension, contractor invoices for the period GAO audited, and the pre-occupancy inspection file GAO found missing.

    What this does not establish

    The official page establishes only that a request channel exists. It does not establish that any request has been filed, that a responsive record exists, that it is non-exempt, or that anything will be released.

    Open official page Verified August 20, 2026
  • Institutional channel · not a window

    DHS OIG complaint intake

    U.S. Department of Homeland Security · DHS Office of Inspector General

    DHS OIG publishes a hotline that accepts complaints concerning DHS programs, personnel, and contractors. GAO documented contract-performance and oversight failures at this facility in GAO-26-108886.

    What this does not establish

    The official page establishes only that DHS OIG accepts complaints. It does not establish that any complaint has been submitted, that a submission will be investigated, or that any OIG review of this facility, contract, or death exists.

    Open official page Verified August 20, 2026
  • Institutional channel · not a window

    House ICE oversight jurisdiction

    U.S. House of Representatives · Committee on Homeland Security, Subcommittee on Border Security and Enforcement

    The subcommittee's official page states oversight jurisdiction over U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement. That standing jurisdiction is the whole of what is established here.

    What this does not establish

    Standing jurisdiction only. No hearing, letter, inquiry, markup, or commitment to act on this facility, contract, or extension is established by this or any source indexed here.

    Open official page Verified August 20, 2026
  • Institutional channel · not a window

    ICE FOIA records channel

    U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement · ICE FOIA Office

    Concretely requestable here: contract modifications, deficiency notices, and inspection reports for PIID 70CDCR26FR0000042 covering Mesa Verde and Golden State.

    What this does not establish

    The official page establishes only that a request channel exists. It does not establish that any modification, deficiency notice, or inspection report exists, is non-exempt, or would be released.

    Open official page Verified August 20, 2026
  • Institutional channel · not a window

    ICE FOIA records channel

    U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement · ICE FOIA Office

    Concretely requestable here: any successor solicitation, award, or bridge action for this facility after the June 30, 2026 period end recorded on the federal award record.

    What this does not establish

    The official page establishes only that a request channel exists. It does not establish that a successor action exists, and no intervention window is published for this case.

    Open official page Verified August 20, 2026
03

How this ledger behaves

These rules are deterministic and tested.

  • A date passing never closes a window. It becomes stale — needs review, and stays visible.
  • A record with no verified hard date never produces a countdown, an urgency label, or a calendar file.
  • Ingestion failure changes freshness reporting only. It never changes an intervention status.
  • Nothing here is created, matched, classified, or published by an automated system or a language model.
  • Every date states whether it is a decision deadline, a period end, a reported period end, or a source publication date.
  • Absence is written as not found in sources currently indexed, never as none.

Statuses shown: Open, Upcoming, Uncertain, Stale — needs review, Closed, Completed. Derived counts recompute from the same records that back /api/leverage.json.